Hours before the American voters went to cast their votes, according to the latest Reuters poll, the chances of the Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton, defeating her Republican opponent, Donald Trump, and winning the presidential race reach about 90%.
The poll, which was published yesterday (Monday) and is part of the (States of the Nation) project, showed that Clinton's chances were not much different from what they were last week, and that any change Trump makes today (Tuesday) depends on an unlikely combination of turnout rates for whites, blacks, and Hispanics in the poll. Six or seven states.
He added that the former Secretary of State is ahead of Trump by 45% compared to 42% in the popular vote, and that she is on her way to collecting 303 electoral college votes compared to 235 votes for Trump, meaning that she will exceed the number needed to win, which is 270 votes.
And Trump's chances depend on his performance in the states of Florida, Michigan, North Carolina and Ohio, which he almost decided in his favor last Sunday when the opinion poll ended, as well as Pennsylvania, where Clinton leads by a narrow margin of three percentage points.
In order for Trump to win, he must win most of these states. And any loss for Trump in two of the states of Florida, Michigan and Pennsylvania will inevitably mean Clinton winning the presidency.
Florida has 29 Electoral College votes and is important to Trump. And if Clinton wins the state, she will need one of the three large swing states, Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania, while Trump will need to win in the three states. And if Trump wins Florida, he must win Ohio and Michigan, or hope to change Pennsylvania.
Reuters (New York)